World production of oil and natural gas will have peaked, probably decades in the past.
Coal may well have peaked, on a net-BTU's basis if not on a total tonnage basis. But if we're still pursuing coal as a primary energy source, then the falsification of xthread's fourth prediction is only a matter of time.
Incidentally, what counts as "collapse"? Does it require mass starvation and infrastructure failure, and a 90% reduction in population? That's probably not going to happen.
Does it count as "collapse" if the symptoms are a pattern of monotonic decrease in biodiversity, agricultural production, available fresh water, standard of living, average income, and political freedom over a period lasting longer than our lifetime?
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Predictions
Date: 2007-05-01 12:53 am (UTC)Coal may well have peaked, on a net-BTU's basis if not on a total tonnage basis. But if we're still pursuing coal as a primary energy source, then the falsification of xthread's fourth prediction is only a matter of time.
Incidentally, what counts as "collapse"? Does it require mass starvation and infrastructure failure, and a 90% reduction in population? That's probably not going to happen.
Does it count as "collapse" if the symptoms are a pattern of monotonic decrease in biodiversity, agricultural production, available fresh water, standard of living, average income, and political freedom over a period lasting longer than our lifetime?