Flying Cars...
Apr. 30th, 2007 11:47 amSome predictions for the next thirty years.
- We will identify an extrasolar object that is almost certainly life-bearing, as evidenced by being within the habitable zone of some other star, and has high concentrations of O2 in it's atmosphere. No, I have no idea whatsoever what telescopy advancements will allow us to determine that the atmosphere of an extrasolar object has large amounts of free oxygen. I am not an astronomer.
- We will find methods to cure type 1 and type 2 diabetes. There have been a lot of extremely exciting research results released in the last six months, I expect that we'll see those results pay off as we make the leap from lab to hospital.
- We will still not have flying cars. Ok, that one's a cheap shot, we may actually have flying cars, there are running prototypes now, but they're ferociously expensive. I'm also tempted to make other snide predictions like 'we will not be using IPv6,' but that's also just an inflammatory cheap shot.
- We will not see a global economic or environmental collapse of the first world. We will see significant environmental damage from global climate changes. We definitely will see a northern arctic freight passage, and I'll be surprised if we don't see human habitation of the Arctic. As
zunger points out, this will be geopolitically... interesting. <cheap shot> especially when large petroleum reserves are discovered in the arctic</cheap shot>
Re: there be method in't
Date: 2007-05-01 01:54 am (UTC)But we already do that with national defense and roads and police and a whole host of other services that just plain ONLY WORK if we do them on a large scale where everyone participates. Nature is no different than those things - it doesn't work if you only do it small scale.
Re: there be method in't
Date: 2007-05-01 02:59 am (UTC)Yes.
where everyone participates.
No.
Participation need not be 100%, nor compulsory, to achieve a subscription rate high enough to meet a goal. Yes, the free rider problem remains a problem -- but the use of coercion to solve it is a cure far more toxic than the disease.
Re: there be method in't
Date: 2007-05-01 03:28 am (UTC)To hell with protecting Joe Escalade from himself. If he wants to poison his environment, he can do so. But he can't do it to mine. And, inconveniently, we are share the same environment. What he does to his environment, he also does to mine.