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Some predictions for the next thirty years.


  1. We will identify an extrasolar object that is almost certainly life-bearing, as evidenced by being within the habitable zone of some other star, and has high concentrations of O2 in it's atmosphere. No, I have no idea whatsoever what telescopy advancements will allow us to determine that the atmosphere of an extrasolar object has large amounts of free oxygen. I am not an astronomer.
  2. We will find methods to cure type 1 and type 2 diabetes. There have been a lot of extremely exciting research results released in the last six months, I expect that we'll see those results pay off as we make the leap from lab to hospital.
  3. We will still not have flying cars. Ok, that one's a cheap shot, we may actually have flying cars, there are running prototypes now, but they're ferociously expensive. I'm also tempted to make other snide predictions like 'we will not be using IPv6,' but that's also just an inflammatory cheap shot.
  4. We will not see a global economic or environmental collapse of the first world. We will see significant environmental damage from global climate changes. We definitely will see a northern arctic freight passage, and I'll be surprised if we don't see human habitation of the Arctic. As [livejournal.com profile] zunger points out, this will be geopolitically... interesting. <cheap shot> especially when large petroleum reserves are discovered in the arctic</cheap shot>

Re: there be method in't

Date: 2007-05-01 03:31 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-steep-hill.livejournal.com
This is the first mention of climate change yet in the discussion. I've said nothing at all on the topic.

You mentioned "carbon externalities". The most common use of that term is in the context of climate change. There are other interpretations, sure, but that's what I assumed you meant.

However, from the context of your further posts, I now suspect that we have entered that alternate reality known as the Climate Change Denialist Zone.

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